COMPLEX OF MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF CITY AS A DYNAMIC SYSTEM
Abstract
The article outlines the relevance and formulation of tasks for the development of a model complex consisting of a set of simulation models. It allows to analyze and give forecasts of systemic risks and potential threats to the sustainable development and functioning of the city as a system. By monitoring the dynamic processes taking place in the city, the given complex will allow to evaluate it as an open, complicated system, all elements of which are interconnected and mutually influential and reveal their hierarchical system. The ability to detect the hierarchy of the influence of these processes on the city allows us to determine the urgency and importance of the decisions made, avoids and predicts a number of systemic errors that are capable of critically affecting the development of the city. The traditional simulation methods applied at the macro level and in the territorial management are not always effective for adequately describing complex systems such as the city in modern non-stationary conditions, with a large number of interactions and factors of influence, characterized by the variability of the environment, structural transformations, they working poorly with ever-changing data. Optimization of the dynamic processes of functioning and development of the city is an important strategic component of the municipal government. In practice, this process involves drawing up a long-term and short-term city development plan. This policy of development becomes especially significant for Ukraine in today's socio-economic and geopolitical conditions, as it is based on local governments and the public not only to develop anti-crisis measures, but also to determine the fate of their territory in the long-term perspective. The complex nature of the research allows to consider goals as separate subsystems of the city, and the system as a whole, and to find a coherent, compromise solution for its optimal functioning and development. The complex nature of the research allows to consider goals as separate subsystems of the city, and the system as a whole, and to find a coherent, compromise solution for its optimal functioning and development. The effectiveness of such forecasting can be calculated by multi-million sums, based on those mistakes in strategies. The complex should form the core of the information and analytical system for supporting the processes of preparation and adoption of managerial decisions at the level of regional and local government that ensures implementation. The result of the application of this complex to the analysis of the city as a dynamic system has in the first statement about the mechanisms of preserving the city of a stable state.
Keywords: model complex, city, dynamical system, architecture, prognostics.
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